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問題 #282
Altman's Z-score incorporates all the following variables that are predictive of bankruptcy EXCEPT:
答案:C
解題說明:
Altman's Z-score is a formula used to predict the likelihood of a company entering bankruptcy within a certain time frame. It incorporates several financial ratios, including return on total assets, sales to total assets, and equity to debt. However, it does not include return on equity. The variables in the Z-score are designed to measure different aspects of a company's financial health and operational efficiency, focusing on liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and activity.
問題 #283
James Johnson purchased a plain vanilla bond that has modified duration of 10 and convexity of 0.5. If yields increase by 1%, its modified duration is expected to
答案:A
解題說明:
* Formula for modified duration change:
* Change in modified duration = Convexity * Change in yield
* Given:
* Initial modified duration = 10
* Convexity = 0.5
* Change in yield = 1%
* Calculation:
* Change in modified duration = 0.5 * 1% = 0.5
* Since the yield increases, the modified duration decreases by 0.5.
References Calculation based on standard formulas for duration and convexity.
問題 #284
What are some of the drawbacks of correlation estimates? Which of the following statements identifies major
problems with correlation calculations?
I. Correlation estimates are not able to capture increases in factor co-movements in extreme market scenarios.
II. Correlation estimates tend to be unstable.
III. Historical correlations may not forecast future correlations correctly.
IV. Correlation estimates assume normally distributed returns.
答案:C
問題 #285
Which one of the following four examples would not be considered a typical source of market risk?
答案:A
解題說明:
Market risk typically involves risks that affect the entire market or market segment. These include:
* Unexpected changes in the term structure of interest rates:
* This affects the prices of bonds and other interest-rate-sensitive securities.
* The JPY depreciating against the USD:
* This is an example of foreign exchange risk, which is a type of market risk.
* Changes in the oil price due to the discovery of new oil fields:
* This affects commodities markets and can have broader economic implications.
* Increased default rate on commercial mortgages due to higher interest rates:
* This is more of a credit risk than market risk. It specifically relates to the creditworthiness of borrowers rather than the overall market movements.
Thus, the increased default rate on commercial mortgages due to higher interest rates is not a typical source of market risk.
ReferencesSource: How Finance Works
問題 #286
Which of the following are conclusions that could be drawn from the shape of the statistical distribution of losses that a bank might incur over a future time period?
I. In most years a bank would look more profitable than it will be on average.
II. Most of the time a sufficiently well capitalized bank will appear over-capitalized.
III. Bad years do not come along very often, but when they do they lead to enormous losses.
答案:C
解題說明:
From the statistical distribution of bank losses over a future period, several conclusions can be drawn:
* I. In most years a bank would look more profitable than it will be on average: This indicates that most years will show better-than-average profitability because the distribution of losses includes infrequent but severe loss events.
* II. Most of the time a sufficiently well-capitalized bank will appear over-capitalized: Because banks prepare for rare but significant losses, in normal years, their capital reserves may seem excessive.
* III. Bad years do not come along very often, but when they do they lead to enormous losses: This reflects the heavy-tailed nature of the loss distribution, where extreme losses are rare but severe.
All three statements correctly reflect the characteristics of the loss distribution for banks.References: How Finance Works, sections covering statistical analysis of losses and capital adequacy.
問題 #287
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